Charlie Coyle vs Connor McDavid
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs McDavid 47.8% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 23-22 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 62.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 64.7%
Neutral zone
Coyle 56.2%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Coyle
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
22
(45 meetings)
23
22
Coyle
McDavid
Last 10: Coyle 5-5 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
11
Coyle
McDavid
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
3
Coyle
McDavid
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
13
8
Coyle
McDavid
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
47.7% (8,358)
+1.7%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
52.0% (371)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
43.4% (279)
+0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Coyle shoots right. McDavid is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,105).
Home / Away
Coyle
McDavid
Home
49.8% (4,835)
49.3% (4,570)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
46.1% (4,438)
By Period
Coyle
McDavid
P1
49.4%
46.5%
P2
48.3%
48.7%
P3
48.8%
48.3%
OT
49.0%
40.9%
Final 5 min
48.4%
50.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:29 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 17:01 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:06 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 14:26 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 09:17 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 09:13 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 12:41 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |