Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.8%). Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Evans 49.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 82.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 55.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 59.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Coyle
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Coyle
Evans
Last 10: Coyle 2-8 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
2
Coyle
Evans
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Evans
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
6
Coyle
Evans
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
51.3% (739)
-0.7%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
53.3% (15)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
43.0% (172)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Coyle is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Coyle shoots right. Evans is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Coyle
Evans
Home
51.8% (517)
52.1% (503)
Away
46.7% (583)
47.0% (423)
By Period
Coyle
Evans
P1
49.2%
50.5%
P2
52.8%
47.7%
P3
44.8%
51.3%
OT
54.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 15:33 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 15:03 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 2 | 16:25 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 1 | 19:16 | Offensive | Jake Evans |