Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Evans 55.4% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 66.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 53.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 53.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Coyle
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Coyle
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Coyle
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
56.2% (477)
-3.9%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
70.0% (10)
-25.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
55.4% (204)
-10.6%
On power play, Evans has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Coyle is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Coyle shoots right. Evans is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Coyle
Evans
Home
49.0% (537)
55.3% (374)
Away
52.1% (516)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Coyle
Evans
P1
48.7%
58.5%
P2
49.6%
55.7%
P3
53.1%
53.9%
OT
45.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | OT | 03:11 | Offensive | Jake Evans |