Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Evans 52.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 20-12 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 85.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 51.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 67.4%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Coyle
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
20
(32 meetings)
12
20
Coyle
Evans
Last 10: Coyle 4-6 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
7
Coyle
Evans
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
6
Coyle
Evans
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
4
7
Coyle
Evans
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
53.8% (3,695)
-4.4%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
60.0% (70)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
47.1% (1,222)
-3.5%
On power play, Evans has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,759).
Coyle shoots right. Evans is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,292).
Home / Away
Coyle
Evans
Home
49.8% (4,835)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Coyle
Evans
P1
49.4%
54.0%
P2
48.3%
50.9%
P3
48.8%
52.0%
OT
49.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
48.4%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | OT | 03:11 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:33 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 02:55 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 19:43 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 03:59 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 07:54 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 12:58 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:19 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 14:18 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Jake Evans |