Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 52.0%). Coyle wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Evans 51.7% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 54.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 52.1%
Neutral zone
Coyle 51.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Coyle
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Coyle
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Coyle
Evans
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Coyle
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Coyle
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
54.5% (483)
-1.8%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
58.3% (12)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
43.9% (155)
+4.2%
On power play, Coyle has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Coyle is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Coyle shoots right. Evans is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Coyle
Evans
Home
53.3% (512)
49.4% (336)
Away
51.9% (507)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Coyle
Evans
P1
53.8%
55.8%
P2
47.8%
51.7%
P3
56.7%
48.2%
OT
38.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 02:44 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 06:18 | Neutral | Jake Evans |