Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 52.2%). Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Evans 52.0% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 60.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 73.8%
Neutral zone
Evans 56.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Coyle
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Coyle
Evans
Last 9: Coyle 6-3 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Evans
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Evans
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
54.4% (807)
-1.4%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
55.0% (20)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
46.1% (310)
-2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Coyle is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Coyle shoots right. Evans is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Coyle
Evans
Home
54.5% (719)
53.7% (581)
Away
48.8% (758)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Coyle
Evans
P1
51.1%
54.6%
P2
50.0%
50.0%
P3
53.3%
52.3%
OT
57.1%
46.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 07:54 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 12:58 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:19 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 14:18 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |