Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Tavares 59.8% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 75.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 59.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 56.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Coyle
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Coyle
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Coyle
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
60.9% (1,043)
-10.3%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
60.4% (278)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
47.6% (21)
-17.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Coyle is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (759).
Coyle shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Home / Away
Coyle
Tavares
Home
51.8% (517)
63.5% (684)
Away
46.7% (583)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Coyle
Tavares
P1
49.2%
60.3%
P2
52.8%
60.4%
P3
44.8%
60.1%
OT
54.5%
92.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 05:19 | Defensive | John Tavares |