Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Tavares 57.2% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 84.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 74.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 59.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Coyle
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Coyle
Tavares
Last 10: Coyle 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
7
Coyle
Tavares
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
7
0
Coyle
Tavares
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
3
Coyle
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
58.0% (914)
-5.7%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
57.0% (235)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
57.9% (19)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Tavares is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Coyle
Tavares
Home
49.0% (537)
57.8% (614)
Away
52.1% (516)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Coyle
Tavares
P1
48.7%
58.0%
P2
49.6%
56.9%
P3
53.1%
58.4%
OT
45.5%
57.7%
Final 5 min
49.1%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 09:29 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 16:26 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:01 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 3 | 03:41 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 1 | 06:56 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |