Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Tavares 57.7% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 19-11 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 69.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 82.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 78.9%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Coyle
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
19
(30 meetings)
11
19
Coyle
Tavares
Last 10: Coyle 2-8 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
9
Coyle
Tavares
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
6
3
Coyle
Tavares
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
7
Coyle
Tavares
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
57.7% (998)
-8.2%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
60.5% (271)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
56.4% (39)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Home / Away
Coyle
Tavares
Home
47.4% (409)
59.7% (610)
Away
50.0% (360)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Coyle
Tavares
P1
50.8%
57.2%
P2
46.0%
58.5%
P3
48.4%
59.4%
OT
64.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2025 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 3 | 08:38 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 2 | 06:01 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 1 | 19:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 1 | 10:54 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:45 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:11 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:20 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 06:08 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 25, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:55 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 03:49 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 03:37 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 03:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 01:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |