Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Tavares 58.7% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 95.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 69.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 83.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 80.8%
19.2%
80.8%
Coyle
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
8
(23 meetings)
15
8
Coyle
Tavares
Last 10: Coyle 7-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
5
Coyle
Tavares
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
10
2
Coyle
Tavares
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
59.2% (1,035)
-6.2%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
60.0% (310)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
42.9% (7)
+0.7%
On even strength, Tavares has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Coyle shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Coyle
Tavares
Home
54.5% (719)
57.5% (668)
Away
48.8% (758)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Coyle
Tavares
P1
51.1%
58.0%
P2
50.0%
60.1%
P3
53.3%
61.0%
OT
57.1%
27.8%
Final 5 min
48.8%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:15 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:18 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 09:37 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 09:27 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 14:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 2, 2023 | OT | 04:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2023 | OT | 00:41 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 10:20 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 2, 2023 | OT | 04:28 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 19:32 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |