Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Tavares 57.7% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 67.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 86.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 62.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Coyle
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Coyle
Tavares
Last 8: Coyle 2-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
5
Coyle
Tavares
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Coyle
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
57.5% (914)
-4.8%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
60.5% (309)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
59.1% (22)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Coyle shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Coyle
Tavares
Home
53.3% (512)
61.0% (661)
Away
51.9% (507)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Coyle
Tavares
P1
53.8%
58.6%
P2
47.8%
57.8%
P3
56.7%
58.4%
OT
38.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.1%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 04:52 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 1 | 15:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 1 | 13:39 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 1 | 08:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:17 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:01 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |