Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Sturm 52.5% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 73.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 74.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 50.8%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Coyle
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Coyle
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Sturm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Coyle
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
54.0% (480)
-3.4%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
28.6% (7)
+22.4%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
50.0% (102)
-19.9%
On power play, Coyle has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Coyle is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (759).
Coyle shoots right. Sturm is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Coyle
Sturm
Home
51.8% (517)
54.0% (287)
Away
46.7% (583)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Coyle
Sturm
P1
49.2%
53.5%
P2
52.8%
51.0%
P3
44.8%
55.1%
OT
54.5%
20.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |