Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Sturm 53.6% (-4.1%)
Offensive zone
Coyle 52.1%
Defensive zone
Sturm 57.5%
Neutral zone
Sturm 52.7%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Coyle
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
54.6% (271)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
54.4% (90)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Sturm is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Coyle
Sturm
Home
49.0% (537)
53.0% (168)
Away
52.1% (516)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Coyle
Sturm
P1
48.7%
58.2%
P2
49.6%
53.2%
P3
53.1%
52.3%
OT
45.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%