Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Sturm 55.2% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 54.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 74.7%
Neutral zone
Sturm 61.0%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Coyle
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Coyle
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Sturm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Coyle
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
56.1% (716)
-3.4%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
67.7% (31)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
51.1% (133)
-3.0%
On even strength, Sturm has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Coyle shoots right. Sturm is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Coyle
Sturm
Home
53.3% (512)
55.6% (412)
Away
51.9% (507)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Coyle
Sturm
P1
53.8%
59.6%
P2
47.8%
52.0%
P3
56.7%
55.5%
OT
38.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |