Christian Dvorak vs Dylan Larkin

2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Christian Dvorak holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Dvorak 56.0% vs Larkin 55.0% (+2.4%)
H2H factor Dvorak leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone Larkin 72.9%
Defensive zone Dvorak 56.0%
Neutral zone Larkin 54.5%
Result Dylan Larkin favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Dvorak Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 4 (11 meetings)
7
4
Dvorak Larkin
Last 10: Dvorak 7-3 Larkin

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak Larkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak Larkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
3
Dvorak Larkin
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Dvorak
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (291)
55.9% (943)
+1.1%
Power Play
83.3% (18)
57.4% (244)
+25.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
46.2% (106)
+3.8%
On power play, Dvorak has a +25.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Dvorak is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Dvorak shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Larkin
Home
58.3% (151)
56.0% (654)
Away
57.4% (190)
54.8% (639)
By Period
Dvorak
Larkin
P1
56.7%
54.4%
P2
56.7%
55.9%
P3
59.6%
55.2%
OT
60.0%
64.0%
Final 5 min
61.8%
53.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%
52.0%
57.8%
Larkin
54.0%
49.5%
55.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 16, 2024 OT 00:00 Neutral Christian Dvorak
Apr 16, 2024 3 18:12 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Apr 16, 2024 2 14:03 Defensive Christian Dvorak
Dec 2, 2023 OT 00:00 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Dec 2, 2023 3 11:57 Offensive Christian Dvorak
Dec 2, 2023 2 10:22 Offensive Christian Dvorak
Dec 2, 2023 1 00:57 Defensive Christian Dvorak
Nov 9, 2023 3 14:34 Neutral Christian Dvorak
Nov 9, 2023 3 06:31 Defensive Christian Dvorak
Nov 9, 2023 3 06:06 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Nov 9, 2023 3 00:26 Neutral Dylan Larkin