Christian Dvorak vs Dylan Larkin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.1% vs 52.7%). Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (62% H2H, 21 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Larkin 52.7% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 34-28 in 62 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 55.5%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 59.6%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 55.1%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Dvorak
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
34
(62 meetings)
28
34
Dvorak
Larkin
Last 10: Dvorak 3-7 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
11
15
Dvorak
Larkin
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
9
6
Dvorak
Larkin
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
8
13
Dvorak
Larkin
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (6,743)
51.7% (9,019)
+1.3%
Power Play
55.7% (1,005)
58.5% (2,125)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (887)
50.2% (1,122)
+0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Dvorak is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,559).
Dvorak shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Larkin
Home
54.7% (4,115)
54.0% (6,238)
Away
51.7% (4,520)
51.3% (6,028)
By Period
Dvorak
Larkin
P1
54.5%
52.7%
P2
51.8%
53.1%
P3
53.0%
52.1%
OT
56.9%
58.4%
Final 5 min
51.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.1%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 11:53 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:28 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 16, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 2, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 11:57 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 10:22 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:57 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 06:31 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |