Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 52.6%). Dvorak wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 52.9% vs Larkin 52.4% (+0.6%)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 53.8%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 50.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 51.5%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Dvorak
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (762)
51.7% (878)
+2.0%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
58.5% (246)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
48.2% (166)
-0.6%
On power play, Larkin has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Dvorak is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Dvorak shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Larkin
Home
53.6% (461)
52.4% (647)
Away
52.9% (507)
52.7% (643)
By Period
Dvorak
Larkin
P1
54.1%
52.2%
P2
52.9%
53.1%
P3
53.8%
51.7%
OT
36.4%
61.3%
Final 5 min
46.3%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%