Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Dowd 53.3% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 82.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 70.2%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 56.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Dvorak
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Dvorak
Dowd
Last 10: Dvorak 7-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Dvorak
Dowd
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
55.4% (771)
+0.3%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
57.1% (7)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
45.5% (165)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Dvorak is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Dvorak shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Dowd
Home
59.0% (432)
58.2% (462)
Away
54.8% (535)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Dvorak
Dowd
P1
58.7%
55.6%
P2
53.9%
50.5%
P3
57.2%
53.9%
OT
70.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 16:05 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 14:31 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 02:54 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |