Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs Dowd 50.7% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 80.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 75.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Dvorak
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Dvorak
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
55.2% (625)
-3.0%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
57.1% (7)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
38.2% (220)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Dvorak is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Dvorak shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Dowd
Home
54.1% (423)
53.7% (445)
Away
50.2% (494)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Dvorak
Dowd
P1
51.4%
48.8%
P2
52.0%
49.3%
P3
52.4%
54.0%
OT
60.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 13:21 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |