Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Dowd 50.7% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 25-17 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 82.0%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 68.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 56.7%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Dvorak
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
17
(42 meetings)
25
17
Dvorak
Dowd
Last 10: Dvorak 6-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
8
4
Dvorak
Dowd
12 total
Defensive Zone
Even
9
9
Dvorak
Dowd
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
8
4
Dvorak
Dowd
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (6,743)
52.4% (6,009)
+0.6%
Power Play
55.7% (1,005)
56.1% (164)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (887)
44.1% (1,635)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Dvorak is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,076).
Dvorak shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Dowd
Home
54.7% (4,115)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
51.7% (4,520)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Dvorak
Dowd
P1
54.5%
51.7%
P2
51.8%
50.4%
P3
53.0%
50.3%
OT
56.9%
45.9%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 09:43 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 14:13 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:33 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 11:04 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 13:21 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 16:05 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |