Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Dowd 48.3% (+9.7%)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 76.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 89.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Dvorak
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (291)
49.2% (778)
+7.8%
Power Play
83.3% (18)
58.3% (12)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
44.0% (234)
+6.0%
On power play, Dvorak has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Dvorak is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Dvorak shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Dowd
Home
58.3% (151)
46.3% (492)
Away
57.4% (190)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Dvorak
Dowd
P1
56.7%
49.1%
P2
56.7%
48.2%
P3
59.6%
46.9%
OT
60.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
61.8%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
57.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%