Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 52.9% vs Dowd 49.1% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 89.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 60.0%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 68.7%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Dvorak
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Dvorak
Dowd
Last 6: Dvorak 5-1 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
1
Dvorak
Dowd
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (762)
51.7% (644)
+2.0%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
0.0% (2)
+54.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
41.6% (221)
+6.0%
On power play, Dvorak has a +54.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Dvorak is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Dvorak shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Dowd
Home
53.6% (461)
48.6% (451)
Away
52.9% (507)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Dvorak
Dowd
P1
54.1%
49.1%
P2
52.9%
47.3%
P3
53.8%
51.4%
OT
36.4%
30.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 09:43 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 14:13 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |