Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Paul 50.4% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 58.6%
Defensive zone
Paul 65.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 61.6%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Dvorak
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Dvorak
Paul
Last 8: Dvorak 3-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Dvorak
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dvorak
Paul
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
53.0% (644)
+2.7%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
37.5% (24)
+23.6%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
42.9% (177)
+14.5%
On power play, Dvorak has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Dvorak is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (553).
Dvorak shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Paul
Home
59.0% (432)
52.5% (516)
Away
54.8% (535)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Dvorak
Paul
P1
58.7%
47.6%
P2
53.9%
48.4%
P3
57.2%
54.5%
OT
70.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2022 | OT | 02:41 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 13:02 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 18:26 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 04:07 | Defensive | Nick Paul |