Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Paul 50.0% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 69.0%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 61.1%
Neutral zone
Paul 55.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Dvorak
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Dvorak
Paul
Last 6: Dvorak 3-3 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Dvorak
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
2
Dvorak
Paul
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
48.8% (666)
+7.6%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
53.8% (65)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
60.0% (55)
-9.4%
On power play, Dvorak has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Paul
Home
55.1% (501)
49.7% (348)
Away
56.4% (559)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Dvorak
Paul
P1
55.8%
51.0%
P2
52.5%
47.4%
P3
58.2%
51.5%
OT
63.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 12:49 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 04:09 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:11 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |