Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs Paul 53.4% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 50.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 59.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 53.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Dvorak
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Dvorak
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Dvorak
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
53.8% (753)
-1.6%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
58.9% (90)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
47.4% (78)
+6.1%
On power play, Paul has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Dvorak is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Dvorak shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Paul
Home
54.1% (423)
54.2% (450)
Away
50.2% (494)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Dvorak
Paul
P1
51.4%
58.2%
P2
52.0%
50.6%
P3
52.4%
52.9%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 09:26 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |