Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Paul 53.9% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 71.3%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 60.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 51.4%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Dvorak
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dvorak
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (291)
53.1% (710)
+3.9%
Power Play
83.3% (18)
57.3% (199)
+26.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
58.0% (69)
-8.0%
On power play, Dvorak has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Dvorak is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Dvorak shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Paul
Home
58.3% (151)
56.0% (466)
Away
57.4% (190)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Dvorak
Paul
P1
56.7%
57.2%
P2
56.7%
54.9%
P3
59.6%
51.5%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
61.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
57.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |