Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.2% vs Sturm 54.1% (-1.7%)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 73.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 65.1%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 51.7%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Dvorak
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (555)
54.1% (233)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (61)
59.5% (74)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Dvorak is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Dvorak shoots left. Sturm is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Sturm
Home
53.1% (341)
54.4% (149)
Away
54.3% (361)
56.3% (158)
By Period
Dvorak
Sturm
P1
52.8%
57.1%
P2
53.4%
55.0%
P3
55.7%
53.7%
OT
38.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
52.0%▬
52.0%
53.7%
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
55.4%