Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Sturm 52.5% (+3.7%)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 67.2%
Defensive zone
Sturm 68.6%
Neutral zone
Sturm 54.9%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Dvorak
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
54.0% (480)
+1.7%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
28.6% (7)
+32.5%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
50.0% (102)
+7.4%
On power play, Dvorak has a +32.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Dvorak is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (553).
Dvorak shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Sturm
Home
59.0% (432)
54.0% (287)
Away
54.8% (535)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Dvorak
Sturm
P1
58.7%
53.5%
P2
53.9%
51.0%
P3
57.2%
55.1%
OT
70.6%
20.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%