Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 52.9% vs Sturm 53.6% (-1.4%)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 73.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 66.8%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 50.6%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Dvorak
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (762)
54.6% (271)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
54.4% (90)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Dvorak is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Dvorak shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Sturm
Home
53.6% (461)
53.0% (168)
Away
52.9% (507)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Dvorak
Sturm
P1
54.1%
58.2%
P2
52.9%
53.2%
P3
53.8%
52.3%
OT
36.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%