Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Giroux wins 64.1% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.6% vs Larkin 52.7% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 60.3%
Defensive zone
Larkin 59.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 69.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Giroux
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Giroux
Larkin
Last 10: Giroux 5-5 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
7
Giroux
Larkin
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Giroux
Larkin
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
1
Giroux
Larkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (478)
51.5% (1,025)
+8.8%
Power Play
64.7% (133)
60.0% (285)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
69.1% (188)
49.5% (182)
+19.6%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Giroux is 64.1% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Giroux shoots right. Larkin is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Giroux
Larkin
Home
66.4% (408)
52.7% (767)
Away
59.6% (391)
53.1% (725)
By Period
Giroux
Larkin
P1
61.4%
52.0%
P2
64.9%
53.0%
P3
62.3%
52.9%
OT
69.2%
63.6%
Final 5 min
62.1%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
72.0%▲
65.0%
63.1%
Larkin
64.0%▲
55.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 14:30 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 14:26 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 26, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 05:46 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 05:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 18, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 08:00 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |