Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Giroux wins 58.2% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.3% vs Larkin 55.0% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 62.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 51.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 58.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Giroux
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
15
(26 meetings)
11
15
Giroux
Larkin
Last 10: Giroux 4-6 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
7
Giroux
Larkin
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
5
3
Giroux
Larkin
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Giroux
Larkin
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (661)
55.9% (943)
-0.4%
Power Play
65.5% (194)
57.4% (244)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (297)
46.2% (106)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Giroux is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Giroux shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Giroux
Larkin
Home
59.0% (576)
56.0% (654)
Away
56.9% (576)
54.8% (639)
By Period
Giroux
Larkin
P1
57.0%
54.4%
P2
58.1%
55.9%
P3
58.9%
55.2%
OT
52.9%
64.0%
Final 5 min
61.6%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.0%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 3 | 13:36 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 2 | 12:25 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 1 | 05:41 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 05:50 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 04:44 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 09:34 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 06:22 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 13:20 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 17:16 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 12:45 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |