Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Giroux wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.7% vs Larkin 54.1% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 55.0%
Defensive zone
Giroux 57.9%
Neutral zone
Giroux 52.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Giroux
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Giroux
Larkin
Last 10: Giroux 4-6 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
9
Giroux
Larkin
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
4
0
Giroux
Larkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
1
Giroux
Larkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (750)
53.6% (886)
+6.1%
Power Play
62.6% (190)
59.3% (317)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (281)
48.7% (152)
+2.9%
On even strength, Giroux has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Giroux is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Giroux shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Giroux
Larkin
Home
59.5% (580)
56.6% (700)
Away
57.3% (641)
52.1% (655)
By Period
Giroux
Larkin
P1
56.6%
55.4%
P2
58.0%
54.7%
P3
60.8%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
64.7%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.3%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:29 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:31 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:52 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 11:57 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 07:33 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 14:52 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 14:59 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 11:16 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 02:31 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 00:06 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |