Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Giroux wins 60.3% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.4% vs Larkin 54.2% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 15-6 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 85.7%
Defensive zone
Giroux 93.7%
Neutral zone
Giroux 89.9%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 89.7%
89.7%
10.3%
Giroux
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
6
(21 meetings)
15
6
Giroux
Larkin
Last 10: Giroux 9-1 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
6
2
Giroux
Larkin
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
5
3
Giroux
Larkin
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
4
1
Giroux
Larkin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (606)
52.6% (1,117)
+7.0%
Power Play
69.3% (150)
60.7% (305)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (220)
55.9% (177)
+5.5%
On power play, Giroux has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Giroux is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (756).
Giroux shoots right. Larkin is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Giroux
Larkin
Home
65.7% (461)
54.7% (783)
Away
57.7% (515)
54.3% (816)
By Period
Giroux
Larkin
P1
60.7%
55.9%
P2
63.7%
56.1%
P3
60.2%
51.1%
OT
46.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
63.5%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
61.5%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 15:36 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 16:07 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 14:47 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:32 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 07:10 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 7, 2025 | OT | 01:05 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 06:09 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:30 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 17:01 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 12:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |