Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs Larkin 52.4% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 65.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 68.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 72.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Giroux
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Giroux
Larkin
Last 10: Giroux 5-5 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
5
Giroux
Larkin
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
4
Giroux
Larkin
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Larkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
51.7% (878)
+8.6%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
58.5% (246)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
48.2% (166)
+17.2%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Giroux shoots right. Larkin is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Giroux
Larkin
Home
65.9% (337)
52.4% (647)
Away
59.1% (318)
52.7% (643)
By Period
Giroux
Larkin
P1
62.1%
52.2%
P2
64.5%
53.1%
P3
60.9%
51.7%
OT
70.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
60.3%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 05:46 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 05:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 18, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 08:00 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |