Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Giroux wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 59.5% vs Larkin 52.1% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 52.3%
Defensive zone
Giroux 50.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 51.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Giroux
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Giroux
Larkin
Last 10: Giroux 3-7 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
3
Giroux
Larkin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
5
Giroux
Larkin
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Giroux
Larkin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (821)
51.8% (903)
+5.9%
Power Play
65.5% (235)
56.0% (225)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (160)
47.4% (76)
+18.2%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Giroux is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Giroux shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Giroux
Larkin
Home
62.5% (675)
55.6% (662)
Away
57.5% (541)
48.3% (542)
By Period
Giroux
Larkin
P1
60.6%
49.9%
P2
59.8%
52.7%
P3
60.9%
53.0%
OT
47.4%
68.0%
Final 5 min
64.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
60.3%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:25 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 12:40 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 07:57 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:51 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 09:54 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 09:49 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 05:56 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:16 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 18:55 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 16:38 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 2 | 09:34 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 15:41 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 07:40 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 02:18 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |