Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 55.6% vs Hertl 51.4% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 57.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 78.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 62.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Giroux
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Giroux
Hertl
Last 7: Giroux 2-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Giroux
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Giroux
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
1
Giroux
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,279)
50.4% (367)
+5.2%
Power Play
57.4% (411)
64.6% (48)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (58)
49.2% (59)
+2.5%
On power play, Hertl has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Giroux is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,226).
Giroux shoots right. Hertl is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Giroux
Hertl
Home
60.2% (857)
50.9% (220)
Away
51.7% (891)
52.4% (254)
By Period
Giroux
Hertl
P1
55.7%
52.7%
P2
56.5%
52.8%
P3
56.0%
49.7%
OT
47.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
55.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 3 | 09:23 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 2 | 15:04 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 2 | 04:57 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 2 | 04:53 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 00:39 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |