Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.7% vs Hertl 54.5% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 69.6%
Defensive zone
Giroux 72.8%
Neutral zone
Hertl 51.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Giroux
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Giroux
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Giroux
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (750)
54.1% (1,117)
+5.6%
Power Play
62.6% (190)
59.8% (296)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (281)
34.4% (32)
+17.2%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Giroux is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Giroux shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Giroux
Hertl
Home
59.5% (580)
54.3% (709)
Away
57.3% (641)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Giroux
Hertl
P1
56.6%
51.6%
P2
58.0%
53.6%
P3
60.8%
58.6%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
64.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 17:51 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 06:56 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 13:11 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |