Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Giroux wins 60.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.4% vs Hertl 55.4% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 50.5%
Defensive zone
Giroux 88.9%
Neutral zone
Giroux 73.6%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Giroux
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Giroux
Hertl
Last 10: Giroux 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Giroux
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
5
1
Giroux
Hertl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (606)
54.1% (717)
+5.5%
Power Play
69.3% (150)
61.9% (210)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (220)
58.1% (31)
+3.3%
On power play, Giroux has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Giroux is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (756).
Giroux shoots right. Hertl is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Giroux
Hertl
Home
65.7% (461)
58.1% (492)
Away
57.7% (515)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Giroux
Hertl
P1
60.7%
57.1%
P2
63.7%
54.0%
P3
60.2%
56.6%
OT
46.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
63.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
61.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 04:26 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 14:49 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 08:13 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 01:12 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 14:55 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 08:54 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 16:03 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 14:54 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |