Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 59.5% vs Hertl 52.3% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 50.2%
Defensive zone
Hertl 50.1%
Neutral zone
Giroux 50.5%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Giroux
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Giroux
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Giroux
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (821)
51.6% (1,084)
+6.1%
Power Play
65.5% (235)
61.0% (246)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (160)
44.1% (136)
+21.5%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Giroux is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Giroux shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Giroux
Hertl
Home
62.5% (675)
55.2% (696)
Away
57.5% (541)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Giroux
Hertl
P1
60.6%
55.4%
P2
59.8%
54.8%
P3
60.9%
48.9%
OT
47.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
64.2%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
60.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2021 | OT | 02:49 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 07:33 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 10:41 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |