Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Giroux wins 57.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.9% vs Hertl 50.7% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 93.2%
Defensive zone
Giroux 76.5%
Neutral zone
Giroux 86.7%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 90.3%
90.3%
9.7%
Giroux
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Giroux
Hertl
Last 8: Giroux 6-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
4
2
Giroux
Hertl
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (675)
51.5% (891)
+7.6%
Power Play
60.1% (316)
54.8% (135)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (97)
41.5% (130)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Giroux is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (776).
Giroux shoots right. Hertl is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Giroux
Hertl
Home
61.1% (529)
52.6% (544)
Away
56.4% (559)
49.2% (612)
By Period
Giroux
Hertl
P1
56.3%
49.4%
P2
62.6%
51.7%
P3
56.7%
51.4%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.6%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2017 | 3 | 16:04 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 1 | 16:51 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 3 | 15:05 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |