Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Giroux wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.3% vs Hertl 51.4% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 79.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 71.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 74.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 75.1%
24.9%
75.1%
Giroux
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Giroux
Hertl
Last 9: Giroux 2-7 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Giroux
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Giroux
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Giroux
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (765)
51.7% (869)
+4.2%
Power Play
64.9% (265)
55.7% (176)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (133)
44.9% (138)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Giroux is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (815).
Giroux shoots right. Hertl is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Giroux
Hertl
Home
60.1% (561)
51.8% (583)
Away
55.9% (603)
51.2% (600)
By Period
Giroux
Hertl
P1
61.1%
52.5%
P2
53.1%
50.9%
P3
59.3%
51.0%
OT
61.1%
53.3%
Final 5 min
64.5%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
57.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 17:50 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 07:07 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 10:14 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |