Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 12 meetings). Sissons wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.4% vs Larkin 49.5% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Sissons leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 58.5%
Defensive zone
Sissons 94.2%
Neutral zone
Sissons 78.6%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 78.7%
78.7%
21.3%
Sissons
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
8
(23 meetings)
15
8
Sissons
Larkin
Last 10: Sissons 8-2 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
3
Sissons
Larkin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
12
0
Sissons
Larkin
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
5
Sissons
Larkin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (459)
49.5% (562)
+5.2%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
51.5% (134)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (126)
41.2% (34)
+11.2%
On power play, Larkin has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Sissons is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (440).
Sissons shoots right. Larkin is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Sissons
Larkin
Home
51.0% (296)
48.5% (388)
Away
56.9% (295)
50.6% (342)
By Period
Sissons
Larkin
P1
55.2%
52.1%
P2
54.5%
46.9%
P3
51.6%
49.2%
OT
75.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
52.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
54.0%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 12:54 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 08:55 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 03:43 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 02:29 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 17:42 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 16:14 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 05:34 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 2 | 10:47 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 07:38 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 19:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |