Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 52.4% vs Larkin 55.0% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 73.3%
Defensive zone
Sissons 64.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 54.3%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Sissons
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Sissons
Larkin
Last 10: Sissons 5-5 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
3
Sissons
Larkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
4
2
Sissons
Larkin
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Larkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (829)
55.9% (943)
-1.3%
Power Play
55.6% (99)
57.4% (244)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (248)
46.2% (106)
-1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Sissons is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Sissons shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Sissons
Larkin
Home
51.5% (575)
56.0% (654)
Away
53.6% (601)
54.8% (639)
By Period
Sissons
Larkin
P1
53.0%
54.4%
P2
52.4%
55.9%
P3
52.0%
55.2%
OT
75.0%
64.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
52.6%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 07:05 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 06:19 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 14:26 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 08:33 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |