Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 54.4%). Look for Sissons on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Sissons wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.2% vs Larkin 54.1% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 81.8%
Defensive zone
Sissons 76.8%
Neutral zone
Sissons 51.9%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Sissons
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Sissons
Larkin
Last 9: Sissons 5-4 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
2
Sissons
Larkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
5
0
Sissons
Larkin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
2
Sissons
Larkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (713)
53.6% (886)
+3.5%
Power Play
52.3% (44)
59.3% (317)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (351)
48.7% (152)
-2.3%
On power play, Larkin has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Sissons is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Sissons shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Sissons
Larkin
Home
54.8% (569)
56.6% (700)
Away
52.1% (539)
52.1% (655)
By Period
Sissons
Larkin
P1
56.1%
55.4%
P2
49.6%
54.7%
P3
54.8%
52.7%
OT
66.7%
59.1%
Final 5 min
53.7%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.5%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 09:15 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:58 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 03:07 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |