Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Sissons wins 59.3% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.2% vs Larkin 52.1% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Sissons leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 68.1%
Defensive zone
Sissons 89.8%
Neutral zone
Sissons 70.2%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Sissons
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Sissons
Larkin
Last 10: Sissons 6-4 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
4
Sissons
Larkin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
4
1
Sissons
Larkin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
4
3
Sissons
Larkin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (923)
51.8% (903)
+5.2%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
56.0% (225)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (325)
47.4% (76)
+4.3%
On even strength, Sissons has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Sissons is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (863).
Sissons shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Sissons
Larkin
Home
55.9% (680)
55.6% (662)
Away
55.4% (612)
48.3% (542)
By Period
Sissons
Larkin
P1
54.2%
49.9%
P2
55.0%
52.7%
P3
58.4%
53.0%
OT
25.0%
68.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
55.7%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 10:44 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 18:51 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 12:46 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 07:07 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 07:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 17:15 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 08:39 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 08:03 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 16:41 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 01:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |