Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on defensive-zone draws (84% H2H, 44 meetings). Sissons wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.8% vs Larkin 52.7% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Sissons leads 54-47 in 101 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 73.2%
Defensive zone
Sissons 81.6%
Neutral zone
Sissons 58.2%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Sissons
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
54
-
47
(101 meetings)
54
47
Sissons
Larkin
Last 10: Sissons 4-6 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
7
28
Sissons
Larkin
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
37
7
Sissons
Larkin
44 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
10
12
Sissons
Larkin
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (6,070)
51.7% (9,019)
+3.7%
Power Play
55.4% (455)
58.5% (2,125)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,889)
50.2% (1,122)
-1.7%
On even strength, Sissons has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Sissons is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,960).
Sissons shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Home / Away
Sissons
Larkin
Home
54.1% (4,241)
54.0% (6,238)
Away
53.7% (4,173)
51.3% (6,028)
By Period
Sissons
Larkin
P1
53.8%
52.7%
P2
53.2%
53.1%
P3
54.7%
52.1%
OT
49.1%
58.4%
Final 5 min
53.9%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.9%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 17:37 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 14:50 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 09:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:30 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:52 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 16:04 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 07:36 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |