Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.8% vs 54.5%). Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Sissons wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 54.1% vs Larkin 54.2% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 70.4%
Defensive zone
Sissons 71.1%
Neutral zone
Sissons 52.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Sissons
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Sissons
Larkin
Last 10: Sissons 4-6 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
4
Sissons
Larkin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Sissons
Larkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (454)
52.6% (1,117)
+4.2%
Power Play
30.4% (23)
60.7% (305)
-30.3%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (147)
55.9% (177)
-3.5%
On power play, Larkin has a +30.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Sissons is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (497).
Sissons shoots right. Larkin is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Sissons
Larkin
Home
54.8% (301)
54.7% (783)
Away
54.8% (323)
54.3% (816)
By Period
Sissons
Larkin
P1
53.0%
55.9%
P2
49.3%
56.1%
P3
61.4%
51.1%
OT
60.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
54.8%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:52 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 16:04 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 07:36 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |