Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 48.1% vs Larkin 52.1% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 58.7%
Defensive zone
Dewar 65.3%
Neutral zone
Dewar 60.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Dewar
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dewar
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Dewar
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (114)
51.8% (903)
-6.2%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
56.0% (225)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
47.4% (76)
+5.5%
On even strength, Larkin has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Dewar is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Dewar shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Dewar
Larkin
Home
45.3% (64)
55.6% (662)
Away
47.8% (69)
48.3% (542)
By Period
Dewar
Larkin
P1
33.3%
49.9%
P2
44.2%
52.7%
P3
64.1%
53.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.6%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 05:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |