Connor Dewar vs Dylan Larkin

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Dylan Larkin holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Dewar 47.7% vs Larkin 52.4% (-9.0%)
Offensive zone Larkin 58.9%
Defensive zone Dewar 63.7%
Neutral zone Larkin 57.4%
Result Dylan Larkin favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Dewar Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Dewar
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (28)
51.7% (878)
+1.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
58.5% (246)
+41.5%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
48.2% (166)
-17.4%
On power play, Dewar has a +41.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Dewar is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Dewar shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Dewar
Larkin
Home
42.1% (19)
52.4% (647)
Away
44.4% (36)
52.7% (643)
By Period
Dewar
Larkin
P1
52.6%
52.2%
P2
31.8%
53.1%
P3
53.8%
51.7%
OT
0.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
43.8%
55.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%
43.5%
43.6%
Larkin
54.0%
49.5%
52.6%