Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Malkin 50.3% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 52.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 59.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 57.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
McDavid
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
McDavid
Malkin
Last 10: McDavid 3-7 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
6
McDavid
Malkin
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid
Malkin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (633)
50.5% (774)
-3.6%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
53.3% (92)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
10.0% (10)
+35.5%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +35.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. McDavid is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (450).
McDavid shoots left. Malkin is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Home / Away
McDavid
Malkin
Home
49.9% (353)
49.1% (411)
Away
45.4% (317)
51.4% (465)
By Period
McDavid
Malkin
P1
46.6%
49.5%
P2
50.9%
54.7%
P3
45.9%
46.7%
OT
0.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
50.4%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
47.8%
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2019 | 3 | 16:24 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 3 | 11:56 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 3 | 02:37 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 1 | 08:10 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 1 | 02:54 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |